Nationals at Padres
Last play · James Wood strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres100%
WSH 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 3 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Padres favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Martín Maldonado homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 5) — +22% Padres
6Jose Iglesias grounds out to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Gavin Sheets scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.3–4
5Martín Maldonado homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
4Jake Cronenworth doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Daylen Lile. Gavin Sheets scores.3–2
4Xander Bogaerts grounds out softly, third baseman Brady House to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Luis Arraez scores.3–1
4James Wood grounds out softly, pitcher Adrian Morejon to first baseman Luis Arraez. Jacob Young scores. CJ Abrams to 2nd.3–0
2James Wood walks. Riley Adams scores. Jacob Young to 3rd. CJ Abrams to 2nd.2–0
2Jacob Young hits a sacrifice bunt. Daylen Lile scores. Riley Adams to 3rd. Jacob Young to 1st.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
