Yankees at Reds
Last play · Tyler Stephenson grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice.
Win probability
Reds0%
NYY 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 4 – 1 CIN
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-210 / +175
Reds favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Giancarlo Stanton scores. (inning 3) — -21% Yankees
9Austin Wells singles on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Jasson Domínguez scores.7–1
6Giancarlo Stanton grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Trent Grisham scores.6–1
6Aaron Judge doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. DJ LeMahieu scores. Trent Grisham to 3rd.5–1
5Anthony Volpe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Ben Rice scores.4–1
4Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to third baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Elly De La Cruz scores. Throwing error by third baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.3–1
3Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Giancarlo Stanton scores.3–0
2Trent Grisham singles on a line drive to right fielder Rece Hinds. Jasson Domínguez scores. Anthony Volpe to 3rd. Austin Wells to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
