Phillies at Astros
Last play · Edmundo Sosa flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
Win probability
Astros100%
PHI 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 1 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Astros favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes pops out to third baseman Edmundo Sosa. (inning 8) — +12% Astros
8Victor Caratini homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
1Isaac Paredes reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Trea Turner. Jeremy Peña scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
