Mariners at Twins
Last play · Randy Arozarena grounds out, second baseman Kody Clemens to first baseman Ty France.
Win probability
Twins100%
SEA 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 0 MIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Twins favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willi Castro singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Byron Buxton scores. (inning 6) — +20% Twins
7Kody Clemens homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
6Willi Castro singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Luke Raley. Byron Buxton scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
