Pirates at Brewers
Last play · Jared Triolo lines out to right fielder Sal Frelick.
Win probability
Brewers100%
PIT 0%MIL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 4 MIL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Brewers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Ortiz grounds out softly, pitcher Paul Skenes to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Isaac Collins scores. Brice Turang to 3rd. Caleb Durbin to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% Brewers
8Spencer Horwitz doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Adam Frazier scores.2–4
7Tommy Pham singles on a ground ball to left fielder Isaac Collins, deflected by third baseman Caleb Durbin. Oneil Cruz scores. Tommy Pham to 2nd.1–4
2Christian Yelich singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Eric Haase scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.0–4
2Sal Frelick reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Nick Gonzales. Caleb Durbin scores. Eric Haase to 3rd.0–3
2Eric Haase doubles (3) on a fly ball to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Brice Turang scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.0–2
2Joey Ortiz grounds out softly, pitcher Paul Skenes to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Isaac Collins scores. Brice Turang to 3rd. Caleb Durbin to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
