Nationals at Padres
Last play · James Wood flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
Win probability
Padres100%
WSH 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 1 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Padres favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Merrill walks. (inning 8) — +12% Padres
2Luis Arraez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Tyler Wade scores. Elias Díaz out at home on the throw, center fielder Jacob Young to catcher Riley Adams.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
