Marlins at Giants
Last play · Daniel Johnson pops out to shortstop Otto Lopez.
Win probability
Giants0%
MIA 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 2 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Giants favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Patrick Bailey singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Casey Schmitt scores. Jung Hoo Lee out at home on the throw, left fielder Kyle Stowers to catcher Nick Fortes. Patrick Bailey to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Giants
10Heliot Ramos singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Christian Koss scores.8–5
10Connor Norby out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Heriberto Hernández scores.8–4
10Heriberto Hernández doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Jack Winkler scores. Otto Lopez scores. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd.7–4
10Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Nick Fortes scores. Liam Hicks to 2nd.5–4
9Patrick Bailey singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Casey Schmitt scores. Jung Hoo Lee out at home on the throw, left fielder Kyle Stowers to catcher Nick Fortes. Patrick Bailey to 2nd.4–4
9Willy Adames out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Dominic Smith scores. Casey Schmitt to 3rd. Jung Hoo Lee to 2nd.4–3
8Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Agustín Ramírez scores. Liam Hicks scores.4–2
5Christian Koss out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Dane Myers. Jung Hoo Lee scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
