Rays at Royals
Last play · Maikel Garcia grounds into a double play, shortstop Taylor Walls to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Vinnie Pasquantino out at 2nd. Maikel Garcia out at 1st.
Win probability
Royals0%
TB 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 0 KC
Rays led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Royals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — -17% Rays
6Junior Caminero homers (20) on a line drive to left field.4–0
6Brandon Lowe homers (16) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
4Josh Lowe singles on a ground ball to center fielder Drew Waters, deflected by second baseman Jonathan India. Jake Mangum scores.2–0
4Jake Mangum triples (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Drew Waters. Jonathan Aranda scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
