Braves at Mets
Last play · Marcell Ozuna strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
ATL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 2 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mets favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyrone Taylor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Juan Soto scores. (inning 4) — +13% Mets
7Jeff McNeil singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Juan Soto scores. Pete Alonso scores.0–4
5Pete Alonso singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Francisco Lindor scores. Brandon Nimmo to 3rd.0–2
4Tyrone Taylor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Juan Soto scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
