Cardinals at Guardians
Last play · Steven Kwan flies out to left fielder Lars Nootbaar.
Win probability
Guardians0%
STL 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 3 – 0 CLE
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Guardians favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Burleson homers (10) on a line drive to right field. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 3) — -21% Cardinals
8Nolan Arenado singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Willson Contreras scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd.5–0
6Nolan Arenado doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nolan Jones. Alec Burleson scores.4–0
3Alec Burleson homers (10) on a line drive to right field. Masyn Winn scores.3–0
3Pedro Pagés homers (6) on a line drive to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
