Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Nate Eaton grounds out, third baseman Addison Barger to first baseman Ernie Clement.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TOR 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 3 – 0 BOS
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Blue Jays challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: George Springer singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Alejandro Kirk to 2nd. (inning 1) — -12% Blue Jays
8Andrés Giménez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Alejandro Kirk scores. George Springer scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd.9–0
8Myles Straw out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.7–0
8George Springer singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Addison Barger scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Alejandro Kirk to 2nd.6–0
7Andrés Giménez walks. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Alejandro Kirk to 3rd. Ernie Clement to 2nd.5–0
7Alejandro Kirk doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Addison Barger scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd.4–0
3Ernie Clement singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. George Springer scores.3–0
2Bo Bichette singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Ernie Clement scores. Andrés Giménez to 2nd.2–0
1Blue Jays challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: George Springer singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Alejandro Kirk to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
