Last play · Jake Mangum grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TB 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
TB 7 – 8 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference
-125 / +105
Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gary Sánchez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Colton Cowser scores. (inning 5) — +30% Orioles
8Coby Mayo homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Cedric Mullins scores.8–22
8Cedric Mullins doubles (12) on a fly ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Colton Cowser scores. Gary Sánchez scores.8–20
8Gunnar Henderson homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Ramón Urías scores.8–18
8Jackson Holliday homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.8–16
7Cedric Mullins walks. Ramón Laureano scores. Colton Cowser to 3rd. Gary Sánchez to 2nd.8–15
7Gary Sánchez reaches on a fielder's choice. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Ramón Laureano to 3rd. Colton Cowser to 2nd. Fielding error by shortstop José Caballero.8–14
7Ramón Laureano singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Ramón Urías scores. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.8–13
7Jake Mangum singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Brandon Lowe scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.8–11
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.