Mets at Pirates
Last play · Hayden Senger grounds into a double play, second baseman Nick Gonzales to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Jared Triolo. Ronny Mauricio out at 2nd. Hayden Senger out at 1st.
Win probability
Pirates100%
NYM 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 5 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Pirates favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jared Triolo singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Joey Bart scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd. (inning 2) — +10% Pirates
7Tommy Pham singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Alexander Canario scores.1–9
6Bryan Reynolds homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Tommy Pham scores.1–8
5Ke'Bryan Hayes doubles (5) on a fly ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Bryan Reynolds scores.1–5
4Juan Soto homers (20) on a line drive to center field.1–4
2Tommy Pham grounds into a force out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to second baseman Ronny Mauricio. Alexander Canario scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa out at 2nd. Tommy Pham to 1st.0–4
2Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Jared Triolo scores. Alexander Canario to 3rd.0–3
2Alexander Canario doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Jared Triolo to 3rd.0–2
2Jared Triolo singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Joey Bart scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
