Phillies at Braves
Last play · J.T. Realmuto flies out to center fielder Michael Harris II.
Win probability
Braves100%
PHI 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 2 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Braves favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sean Murphy hits a grand slam (10) to left field. Marcell Ozuna scores. Austin Riley scores. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 7) — +19% Braves
7Sean Murphy hits a grand slam (10) to left field. Marcell Ozuna scores. Austin Riley scores. Ozzie Albies scores.1–6
6Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to center fielder Eli White. Brandon Marsh scores. Kyle Schwarber to 3rd. Alec Bohm to 2nd.1–2
2Nick Allen singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Eli White scores. Stuart Fairchild out at home on the throw, left fielder Max Kepler to catcher J.T. Realmuto.0–2
1Austin Riley singles on a soft ground ball to second baseman Bryson Stott. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
