Cardinals at Guardians
Last play · José Ramírez lines out sharply to left fielder Lars Nootbaar.
Win probability
Guardians0%
STL 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 3 – 6 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Guardians favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Victor Scott II doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Nolan Jones. Nolan Arenado scores. Nolan Gorman scores. Yohel Pozo to 3rd. (inning 6) — -31% Cardinals
9Willson Contreras homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.9–6
6Masyn Winn grounds out, second baseman Daniel Schneemann to first baseman Carlos Santana. Victor Scott II scores.8–6
6Brendan Donovan out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lane Thomas. Yohel Pozo scores. Victor Scott II to 3rd.7–6
6Victor Scott II doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Nolan Jones. Nolan Arenado scores. Nolan Gorman scores. Yohel Pozo to 3rd.6–6
6Nolan Gorman singles on a line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Lars Nootbaar scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.4–6
5Alec Burleson singles on a fly ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Brendan Donovan scores. Masyn Winn scores.3–6
4Steven Kwan triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Alec Burleson. Austin Hedges scores.1–6
4Gabriel Arias homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Nolan Jones scores.1–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
