Mets at Pirates
NYM2–
PIT9Last play · Juan Soto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
NYM 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Pirates favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Bart singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Oneil Cruz scores. (inning 2) — +15% Pirates
8Bryan Reynolds doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Alexander Canario scores. Andrew McCutchen scores.2–9
8Andrew McCutchen singles on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Spencer Horwitz scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Alexander Canario to 3rd.2–7
8Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds out, third baseman Mark Vientos to first baseman Pete Alonso. Henry Davis scores. Spencer Horwitz to 3rd. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 2nd.2–5
8Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Nick Gonzales scores. Henry Davis to 3rd. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.2–4
5Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Pete Alonso scores.2–3
2Adam Frazier out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Spencer Horwitz scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd.1–3
2Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Joey Bart scores. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.1–2
2Joey Bart singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Oneil Cruz scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.