Twins at Tigers
Last play · Harrison Bader strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
MIN 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 6 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Tigers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Byron Buxton homers (19) on a fly ball to left center field. Harrison Bader scores. (inning 3) — -24% Twins
9Matt Wallner out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Matt Vierling. Brooks Lee scores.5–10
8Wenceel Pérez doubles (7) on a fly ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Gleyber Torres scores. Riley Greene scores. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd.4–10
8Carlos Correa homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Byron Buxton scores.4–8
7Zach McKinstry out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Wenceel Pérez scores.2–8
6Zach McKinstry homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.2–7
5Riley Greene homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.2–6
4Gleyber Torres homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Zach McKinstry scores.2–5
4Colt Keith out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Matt Vierling scores. Zach McKinstry to 3rd.2–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
