Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Will Wagner pops out to second baseman Romy Gonzalez.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
TOR 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 9 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Abraham Toro scores. Carlos Narváez scores. (inning 1) — +24% Red Sox
8Abraham Toro out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jonatan Clase. Jarren Duran scores.1–15
7Romy Gonzalez homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Carlos Narváez scores.1–14
6Ceddanne Rafaela homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Nick Sogard scores.1–12
6Nick Sogard singles on a line drive to left fielder George Springer. Trevor Story scores.1–10
3Wilyer Abreu called out on strikes.1–9
3Carlos Narváez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Myles Straw. Jarren Duran scores. Roman Anthony to 3rd.1–8
3Abraham Toro walks. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd. Roman Anthony to 2nd.1–7
3Addison Barger doubles (18) on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Myles Straw scores.1–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
