Mariners at Rangers
Last play · Marcus Semien singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Moore. Alejandro Osuna scores. Josh Smith to 3rd. Corey Seager to 2nd.
Win probability
Rangers100%
SEA 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 2 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Rangers favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corey Seager homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Smith scores. (inning 3) — +25% Rangers
10Marcus Semien singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Moore. Alejandro Osuna scores. Josh Smith to 3rd. Corey Seager to 2nd.2–3
6Randy Arozarena singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Cal Raleigh scores.2–2
3Corey Seager homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Smith scores.1–2
3Dominic Canzone homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
