Marlins at D-backs
Last play · Randal Grichuk grounds out softly, catcher Nick Fortes to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
Win probability
D-backs0%
MIA 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 6 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
D-backs favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Heriberto Hernández out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Dane Myers scores. (inning 9) — -38% Marlins
10Agustín Ramírez singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Otto Lopez scores.8–7
9Heriberto Hernández out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Dane Myers scores.7–7
8Liam Hicks singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Agustín Ramírez scores.6–7
8Otto Lopez homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Heriberto Hernández scores.5–7
6Ketel Marte out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Dane Myers. James McCann scores.3–7
4Ketel Marte homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. James McCann scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores.3–6
4Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Jake McCarthy scores. James McCann to 2nd.3–3
4James McCann singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Randal Grichuk scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
