Rays at Orioles
Last play · Curtis Mead called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TB 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 3 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Mangum. Ramón Laureano scores. (inning 2) — +10% Orioles
9Brandon Lowe homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.1–5
6Cedric Mullins out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake Mangum. Ramón Laureano scores.0–5
6Gary Sánchez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe, deflected by second baseman Brandon Lowe. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Ramón Laureano to 3rd.0–4
5Ramón Urías out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Cedric Mullins scores.0–3
5Coby Mayo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Gary Sánchez scores. Cedric Mullins to 2nd.0–2
2Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Mangum. Ramón Laureano scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
