Twins at Tigers
Last play · Ryan Jeffers grounds out, shortstop Javier Báez to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Tigers100%
MIN 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 3 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 48% · hold 6.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+220 / -310
Tigers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Riley Greene homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 4) — +15% Tigers
5Kerry Carpenter triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Willi Castro. Colt Keith scores.0–3
4Riley Greene homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
1Kerry Carpenter homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
