Padres at Reds
Last play · Will Benson singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Gavin Lux scores. Spencer Steer to 3rd. Jose Trevino to 2nd.
Win probability
Reds100%
SD 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 0 CIN
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Reds favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Elly De La Cruz scores. Gavin Lux to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Reds
9Will Benson singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Gavin Lux scores. Spencer Steer to 3rd. Jose Trevino to 2nd.2–3
9Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Elly De La Cruz scores. Gavin Lux to 2nd.2–2
7Jose Iglesias grounds into a force out, second baseman Matt McLain to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd. Gavin Sheets out at 2nd. Jose Iglesias to 1st.2–1
6Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Gavin Sheets. Will Benson scores. Matt McLain to 2nd.1–1
4Xander Bogaerts homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
