Blue Jays at Red Sox
Last play · Romy Gonzalez called out on strikes.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
TOR 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 5 – 3 BOS
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Red Sox favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Jonatan Clase. Trevor Story scores. (inning 2) — +15% Red Sox
5Romy Gonzalez doubles (12) on a fly ball to left fielder Jonatan Clase. Nick Sogard scores.5–3
5Nathan Lukes singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Bo Bichette scores. George Springer to 2nd.5–2
4Tyler Heineman walks. Ernie Clement scores. Andrés Giménez to 3rd. Jonatan Clase to 2nd.4–2
4Andrés Giménez singles on a line drive to right fielder Roman Anthony. Nathan Lukes scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd.3–2
2Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Jonatan Clase. Trevor Story scores.2–2
2Carlos Narváez homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Addison Barger homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
