Cubs at Astros
Last play · Nico Hoerner pops out to catcher Yainer Diaz in foul territory.
Win probability
Astros100%
CHC 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 0 – 2 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -135
Astros favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Luis Guillorme scores. (inning 5) — +25% Astros
5Jose Altuve homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Luis Guillorme scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
