Marlins at D-backs
Last play · Jose Herrera strikes out swinging.
Win probability
D-backs0%
MIA 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 2 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51% · hold 6.9%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -220
D-backs favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Dane Myers scores. Liam Hicks scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd. Otto Lopez to 2nd. (inning 8) — -52% Marlins
8Eugenio Suárez singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Geraldo Perdomo scores.6–4
8Pavin Smith strikes out swinging.6–3
8Kyle Stowers doubles (13) on a ground ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Javier Sanoja scores. Otto Lopez scores. Agustín Ramírez scores.6–2
8Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Dane Myers scores. Liam Hicks scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd. Otto Lopez to 2nd.3–2
3Ketel Marte homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
2Jake McCarthy triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.1–1
1Eric Wagaman singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Eugenio Suárez. Agustín Ramírez scores. Eric Wagaman to 2nd. Eric Wagaman advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by third baseman Eugenio Suárez.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
