Cardinals at Pirates
Last play · Alec Burleson grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
Win probability
Pirates100%
STL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 7 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / -110
Pirates favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Horwitz doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Joey Bart scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. (inning 5) — +17% Pirates
5Tommy Pham singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Oneil Cruz scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 2nd.0–7
5Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Bryan Reynolds scores. Nick Gonzales scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.0–6
5Nick Gonzales doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Alec Burleson. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.0–4
5Spencer Horwitz doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Joey Bart scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.0–3
1Spencer Horwitz homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
