Yankees at Blue Jays
NYY4–
TOR5Last play · Cody Bellinger flies out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
NYY 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 1 TOR
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Nathan Lukes scores. Ernie Clement scores. George Springer out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Jasson Domínguez to third baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd. (inning 6) — +31% Blue Jays
8Cody Bellinger homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.4–5
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Nathan Lukes scores. Ernie Clement scores. George Springer out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Jasson Domínguez to third baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.3–5
6Ernie Clement singles on a ground ball to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Myles Straw scores. Nathan Lukes to 3rd.3–3
6Nathan Lukes singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Davis Schneider scores. Myles Straw to 3rd.3–2
6Giancarlo Stanton singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Myles Straw. Jasson Domínguez scores. Aaron Judge to 3rd.3–1
5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grounds out sharply, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice. Ernie Clement scores.2–1
4Jazz Chisholm Jr. homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Trent Grisham scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.