Reds at Red Sox
Last play · Gavin Lux grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Romy Gonzalez.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
CIN 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 2 BOS
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Red Sox favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Nate Eaton scores. (inning 8) — +29% Red Sox
8Trevor Story doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Gavin Lux. Wilyer Abreu scores. Trevor Story out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Gavin Lux to shortstop Elly De La Cruz to second baseman Matt McLain.3–5
8Wilyer Abreu singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Nate Eaton scores.3–4
6Carlos Narváez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Gavin Lux. Abraham Toro scores.3–3
4Spencer Steer homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Gavin Lux scores.3–2
3Matt McLain grounds out, third baseman Marcelo Mayer to first baseman Abraham Toro. Will Benson scores.1–2
1Carlos Narváez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Will Benson. Roman Anthony scores.0–2
1Roman Anthony doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Jarren Duran scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
