Twins at Marlins
Last play · Willi Castro flies out to center fielder Derek Hill.
Win probability
Marlins100%
MIN 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 1 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Marlins favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Stowers homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — +15% Marlins
8Nick Fortes singles on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jesús Sánchez scores. Otto Lopez to 3rd.0–2
2Kyle Stowers homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
