Padres at Phillies
Last play · Jose Iglesias called out on strikes.
Win probability
Phillies100%
SD 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 4 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Phillies favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Alec Bohm scores. (inning 4) — +30% Phillies
7Alec Bohm triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Johan Rojas scores.1–5
5Nick Castellanos singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Trea Turner scores.1–4
5Brandon Marsh homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
4Max Kepler homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Alec Bohm scores.1–2
4Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to right fielder Max Kepler. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
