Brewers at Mets
Last play · Brandon Nimmo lines out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
Win probability
Mets0%
MIL 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 2 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Mets favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Joey Ortiz hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Brice Turang scores. Isaac Collins scores. Jake Bauers scores. (inning 6) — -42% Brewers
8Isaac Collins homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.7–2
6Joey Ortiz hits a grand slam (6) to left field. Brice Turang scores. Isaac Collins scores. Jake Bauers scores.6–2
6Brice Turang doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Christian Yelich scores.2–2
4Pete Alonso singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Juan Soto scores.1–2
3Brett Baty out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Chourio. Jeff McNeil scores.1–1
1Sal Frelick homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
