Cardinals at Pirates
Last play · Brendan Donovan called out on strikes.
Win probability
Pirates100%
STL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 0 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Pirates favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Henry Davis out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. (inning 8) — +29% Pirates
8Henry Davis out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Victor Scott II. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
