Guardians at Cubs
Last play · Nolan Jones strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs100%
CLE 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Cubs favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 6) — +20% Cubs
8Carson Kelly out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nolan Jones. Dansby Swanson scores.2–5
6Seiya Suzuki homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field.2–4
4Angel Martínez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Lane Thomas scores.2–3
4Nolan Jones singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Carlos Santana scores. Lane Thomas to 3rd.1–3
2Carson Kelly doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Dansby Swanson scores. Michael Busch scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd. Carson Kelly advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by second baseman Angel Martínez.0–3
2Michael Busch singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
