Giants at D-backs
Last play · Dominic Smith grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Pavin Smith.
Win probability
D-backs100%
SF 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 6 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -140
D-backs favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake McCarthy homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Eugenio Suárez scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. (inning 4) — +38% D-backs
6James McCann homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–8
6Randal Grichuk homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.2–7
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (12) on a line drive to left center field. Eugenio Suárez scores.2–6
4Jake McCarthy homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Eugenio Suárez scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.2–4
3Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. James McCann scores.2–1
2Patrick Bailey grounds out to first baseman Pavin Smith. Daniel Johnson scores.2–0
2Willy Adames homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
