Brewers at Mets
Last play · William Contreras grounds out, first baseman Pete Alonso to pitcher Edwin Díaz.
Win probability
Mets100%
MIL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 5 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Mets favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo hits a grand slam (16) to right field. Brett Baty scores. Ronny Mauricio scores. Hayden Senger scores. (inning 2) — +31% Mets
8Francisco Lindor doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Travis Jankowski scores.3–7
6Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to left fielder Christian Yelich. Ronny Mauricio scores.3–6
6Joey Ortiz grounds out, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Pete Alonso. Rhys Hoskins scores. Anthony Seigler to 2nd.3–5
6Jackson Chourio homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.2–5
6Christian Yelich homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field.1–5
2Francisco Lindor homers (17) on a line drive to right center field.0–5
2Brandon Nimmo hits a grand slam (16) to right field. Brett Baty scores. Ronny Mauricio scores. Hayden Senger scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
