Twins at Marlins
Last play · Dane Myers grounds into a double play, shortstop Carlos Correa to second baseman Willi Castro to first baseman Ty France. Connor Norby out at 2nd. Dane Myers out at 1st.
Win probability
Marlins0%
MIN 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 1 MIA
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Marlins favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Stowers homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — +15% Marlins
4Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Willi Castro scores. Brooks Lee to 2nd.2–1
2Kyle Stowers homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Brooks Lee out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Byron Buxton scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
