Yankees at Blue Jays
Last play · Ben Rice pops out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
NYY 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 6 – 8 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (31) on a fly ball to left field. Ben Rice scores. (inning 8) — -34% Yankees
8Addison Barger singles on a line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.9–11
8Aaron Judge homers (31) on a fly ball to left field. Ben Rice scores.9–9
7Davis Schneider homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.7–9
6Cody Bellinger grounds into a force out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to shortstop Ernie Clement. DJ LeMahieu scores. Ben Rice to 3rd. Aaron Judge out at 2nd. Cody Bellinger to 1st.7–8
5Giancarlo Stanton homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Ben Rice scores. Aaron Judge scores.6–8
5Aaron Judge doubles (21) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Myles Straw. DJ LeMahieu scores. Ben Rice to 3rd.3–8
5Ben Rice singles on a line drive to right fielder Addison Barger. Anthony Volpe scores. DJ LeMahieu to 3rd.2–8
5DJ LeMahieu singles on a ground ball to center fielder Myles Straw. Jasson Domínguez scores. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.1–8
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
