Padres at Phillies
Last play · Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies0%
SD 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 6 – 0 PHI
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Phillies favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Manny Machado doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Elias Díaz scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 2) — -18% Padres
9Brandon Marsh singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. J.T. Realmuto scores.6–4
7Johan Rojas strikes out on a foul tip.6–3
7Edmundo Sosa triples (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Gavin Sheets. J.T. Realmuto scores.6–2
6Kyle Schwarber homers (26) on a fly ball to right field.6–1
4Luis Arraez walks. Elias Díaz scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd. Jackson Merrill to 2nd.6–0
2Manny Machado doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Elias Díaz scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jackson Merrill scores.5–0
2Jackson Merrill walks. Jake Cronenworth scores. Elias Díaz to 3rd. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.2–0
2Fernando Tatis Jr. walks. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Elias Díaz to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
