Cardinals at Pirates
Last play · Brendan Donovan pops out to first baseman Spencer Horwitz in foul territory.
Win probability
Pirates100%
STL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 1 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Pirates favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tommy Pham singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Oneil Cruz scores. (inning 2) — +10% Pirates
7Spencer Horwitz singles on a ground ball to right fielder José Fermín. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.0–5
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Tommy Pham scores.0–4
7Tommy Pham singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Nick Gonzales scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 2nd.0–2
2Tommy Pham singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Oneil Cruz scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
