Guardians at Cubs
Last play · Kyle Manzardo flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
Win probability
Cubs100%
CLE 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 5 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Cubs favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas, deflected by shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Matt Shaw scores. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 4) — +30% Cubs
9Steven Kwan out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ian Happ. Angel Martínez scores.4–5
4Pete Crow-Armstrong triples (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Nolan Jones. Seiya Suzuki scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at home on the throw, right fielder Nolan Jones to second baseman Angel Martínez to third baseman José Ramírez.3–5
4Seiya Suzuki singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas, deflected by shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Matt Shaw scores. Kyle Tucker scores.3–4
3Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a ground ball to shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Kyle Tucker scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.3–2
3Seiya Suzuki doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd.3–1
3David Fry homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
2Lane Thomas homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
2Carlos Santana homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
