Twins at Marlins
Last play · Matt Wallner grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
Win probability
Marlins100%
MIN 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 4 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.1% · hold 6.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Marlins favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Agustín Ramírez homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 1) — +16% Marlins
7Matt Wallner homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
3Jesús Sánchez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Xavier Edwards scores.0–4
1Agustín Ramírez homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Otto Lopez scores.0–3
1Otto Lopez grounds into a force out, shortstop Brooks Lee to second baseman Willi Castro. Xavier Edwards scores. Jesús Sánchez out at 2nd. Otto Lopez to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
