Royals at Mariners
Last play · Jonathan India strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
KC 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 0 SEA
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 48% · hold 6.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -125
Mariners favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr., deflected by third baseman Maikel Garcia. Ben Williamson scores. Cole Young to 3rd. (inning 7) — +21% Mariners
8Salvador Perez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. John Rave to 2nd.2–3
7Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Cole Young scores.1–3
7Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr., deflected by third baseman Maikel Garcia. Ben Williamson scores. Cole Young to 3rd.1–2
6Randy Arozarena homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Salvador Perez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
