Yankees at Blue Jays
Last play · Austin Wells lines out sharply to center fielder Myles Straw.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
NYY 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 6 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · George Springer homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Nathan Lukes scores. (inning 3) — +23% Blue Jays
8George Springer homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Nathan Lukes scores.5–8
7Anthony Volpe grounds out sharply, shortstop Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Cody Bellinger scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 3rd.5–6
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. doubles (9) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Nathan Lukes. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.4–6
5Addison Barger homers (11) on a line drive to right center field.3–6
4Nathan Lukes doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Will Wagner scores. Davis Schneider scores.3–5
4Trent Grisham walks.3–3
4Anthony Volpe singles on a fly ball to right fielder Addison Barger. Jasson Domínguez scores.2–3
3George Springer homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field. Nathan Lukes scores.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
