Orioles at Braves
Last play · Michael Harris II grounds out, third baseman Jordan Westburg to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
Win probability
Braves0%
BAL 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 3 – 0 ATL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52% · hold 6.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -190
Braves favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drake Baldwin homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Jurickson Profar scores. (inning 6) — +28% Braves
6Drake Baldwin homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Jurickson Profar scores.3–2
5Cedric Mullins homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Tyler O'Neill scores.3–0
3Jordan Westburg homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
