Yankees at Mets
Last play · Jasson Domínguez grounds out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
NYY 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 5 – 3 NYM
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Mets favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeff McNeil homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Pete Alonso scores. (inning 7) — +44% Mets
7Jeff McNeil homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Pete Alonso scores.5–6
6Brett Baty homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.5–4
5Jasson Domínguez homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. DJ LeMahieu scores.5–3
4Cody Bellinger homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.3–3
3Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jasson Domínguez, deflected by shortstop Anthony Volpe. Juan Soto scores.2–3
1Juan Soto homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field. Brandon Nimmo scores.2–2
1Aaron Judge homers (32) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Jasson Domínguez homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
