Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Kyle Manzardo grounds out, pitcher Will Vest to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Guardians0%
DET 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 1 CLE
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach McKinstry homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 4) — -20% Tigers
4Zach McKinstry homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
3Wenceel Pérez homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1José Ramírez homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
