Yankees at Mets
NYY6–
NYM12Last play · Aaron Judge grounds out, third baseman Brett Baty to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
NYY 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 7 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 49% · hold 6.9%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +110
Mets favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo hits a grand slam (18) to right center field. Starling Marte scores. Francisco Lindor scores. Pete Alonso scores. (inning 1) — +23% Mets
8Juan Soto singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge. Francisco Lindor scores.6–12
8Ben Rice doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Cody Bellinger scores.6–11
7Pete Alonso homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto scores.5–11
7Francisco Lindor singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Ronny Mauricio scores. Francisco Lindor to 2nd. Francisco Lindor advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Trent Grisham.5–8
7Anthony Volpe homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.5–7
6Cody Bellinger doubles (16) on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Oswald Peraza scores. Trent Grisham scores.4–7
5Pete Alonso homers (19) on a line drive to right center field. Francisco Lindor scores.2–7
3Austin Wells homers (12) on a line drive to right field.2–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.