Orioles at Braves
Last play · Luke Williams grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
Win probability
Braves0%
BAL 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 5 – 5 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.1% · hold 6.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -160
Braves favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Stallings doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Ramón Laureano scores. Ryan O'Hearn scores. (inning 10) — -29% Orioles
10Jacob Stallings doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Ramón Laureano scores. Ryan O'Hearn scores.9–6
10Ramón Laureano doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Jordan Westburg scores.7–6
7Jackson Holliday singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr., deflected by second baseman Ozzie Albies. Cedric Mullins scores.6–6
6Jurickson Profar grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Nick Allen scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd.5–6
4Austin Riley doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Matt Olson out at home on the throw, left fielder Colton Cowser to shortstop Gunnar Henderson to catcher Gary Sánchez.5–5
4Matt Olson singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Nick Allen scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.5–4
4Colton Cowser homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Ryan O'Hearn scores.5–3
3Matt Olson homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
