Pirates at Mariners
Last play · Joey Bart strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
PIT 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Mariners favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh homers (34) on a fly ball to left field. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 1) — +17% Mariners
7Dylan Moore homers (9) on a line drive to left center field. Donovan Solano scores.0–6
6Cal Raleigh homers (35) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
4Randy Arozarena homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.0–3
1Cal Raleigh homers (34) on a fly ball to left field. Julio Rodríguez scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
